Odds by league · Liga de Expansión MX · Soccer · Thu Aug 06 · 16:00 CST

TlaxcalavsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Every tracked price on Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca, against the same margin-free fair line.

BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
theScoreAlebrijes de Oaxaca6.50+4.3%
ESPN BETAlebrijes de Oaxaca6.50+4.3%
RizkTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
BetsafeTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
iBetTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
BetssonTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
BetanoTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
Betano (Greece)Tlaxcala1.62-1.8%
+19.3%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +19.3% across 916 settled signals last 30 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
BetOnlineTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
Sportsbetting.agTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
KalshiTlaxcala1.62-1.8%
BetAmapolaTlaxcala1.61-2.5%
BoomersTlaxcala1.61-2.7%
SportzinoTlaxcala1.60-3.2%
BetwayTlaxcala1.60-3.2%
DraftKingsTlaxcala1.59-3.8%
888sportTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
RivalryTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
BetplayTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
betwhaleTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
BC.GAMETlaxcala1.57-4.8%
MidniteTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
PlayNowTlaxcala1.57-4.8%
Mise-o-jeuTlaxcala1.54-6.7%
CodereTlaxcala1.53-7.4%
KalshiDraw4.30-7.4%
SportsbetTlaxcala1.52-7.9%
theScoreDraw4.20-9.6%
ESPN BETDraw4.20-9.6%
BetwayDraw4.00-13.9%
theScoreTlaxcala1.42-14.2%
ESPN BETTlaxcala1.42-14.2%
SportsbetDraw3.90-16.0%
BetOnlineDraw3.90-16.0%
Sportsbetting.agDraw3.90-16.0%
MidniteDraw3.90-16.0%
BetAmapolaDraw3.90-16.0%
KalshiAlebrijes de Oaxaca5.24-16.0%
Mise-o-jeuDraw3.85-17.1%
RivalryDraw3.85-17.1%

No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Tlaxcala 1.65 · Draw 4.64 · Alebrijes de Oaxaca 6.23. How fair prices are made.

LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
7
Omen Score
+4.3%
Edge vs sharp consensus
70
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Pick: Alebrijes de Oaxaca @ 6.50 — best price at theScore
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now · see them all with a free account
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Mushuc Runa vs Orense SC · Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer — pick Mushuc Runa @ 1.93
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.0%
Entry edge
+2.0%
Edge near close
+0.3%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.89
Fair price (no-vig)
2.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
5
Sharp books
Prime pick
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
2.2%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.0%
Shin
+5.0%
Power
+5.0%
Additive
-3.1%
Worst case
+5.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Bodog1.93+2.0%
Bovada1.93+2.0%
Heritage1.92+1.6%
Superbet1.92+1.6%
Betfair Exchange1.92+1.6%
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92+1.6%
Betano1.91+1.1%
Betamapola1.91+1.1%
Fliff1.87-1.0%
Sportzino1.83-2.9%
BetDEX1.81-4.0%
Bet1051.80-4.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.93 odds → 52% implied win probability
53%
Fair win probability
+5.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
steam entry + home side 🔒 (Soccer) — +7.9% settled ROI on 40% winners
closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.7% settled ROI on 41% winners
consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +4.1% settled ROI on 38% winners
Past performance

Based on 102 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days

+7.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.6% 🔒
Average return
+3.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
84%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.1% to +4.4% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:35 UTC at 2.10 (+5.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.90 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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