Freseros de IrapuatovsEl Calor de Cancún
Every tracked price on Freseros de Irapuato vs El Calor de Cancún, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Freseros de Irapuato | 1.33 | — |
| Kalshi | El Calor de Cancún | 1.31 | — |
$115
back for every $100 staked
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer's playbook strategies work the high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) — averaging +15.2% on every dollar staked across 2,608 settled signals detected in the last 365 days, losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
A no-vig fair price for this match appears once enough independent books have priced it.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Connecticut Sun vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Connecticut Sun
@ 2.01
93
Omen Score
Why this bet
+5.0%
Entry edge
+3.6%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.94
Fair price (no-vig)
2.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
5
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
6.28%
Recommended stake
3.6%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.0%
Shin
+5.0%
Power
+5.0%
Additive
-5.0%
Worst case
+5.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Prophet X | 2.06 | +6.2% |
| Sx.Bet | 2.03 | +4.7% |
| Novig | 2.02 | +4.1% |
| 4Cx | 2.01 | +3.6% |
| Rushbet | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| Espn-Bet | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| theScore | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| BetRivers | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| Matchbook | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| Four Winds | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| Twinspires | 2.00 | +3.1% |
| Sugarhouse | 2.00 | +3.1% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.01 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+6.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+5.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +29.5% settled ROI on 52% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +25.5% settled ROI on 53% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +16.6% settled ROI on 51% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +15.0% settled ROI on 49% winners
Past performance
+3.5% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.7% 🔒
Average return
+3.7% 🔒
Beat the closing line
69%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +2.7% to +1.1% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 18, 19:38 UTC at 2.10 (+5.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.94 → closing-line value +3.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Freseros de Irapuato vs El Calor de Cancún
is on the member board now ·
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Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).