Ball StatevsStony Brook
Every tracked price on Ball State vs Stony Brook, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Stony Brook | 1.42 | — |
| underdog-predictions | Stony Brook | 1.15 | — |
| fanatics-markets | Stony Brook | 1.15 | — |
| crypto.com | Stony Brook | 1.15 | — |
A no-vig fair price for this match appears once enough independent books have priced it.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Montreal Alouettes
· CFL · American Football — flagged side Winnipeg Blue Bombers
@ 3.80
88
Omen Score
Why this bet
+4.5%
Entry edge
+3.2%
Edge near close
+1.0%
Risk-adjusted edge
3.68
Fair price (no-vig)
3.90
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
1.23%
Recommended stake
1.1%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+1.5%
Shin
-0.1%
Power
+4.5%
Additive
+1.5%
Balanced
-14.9%
Worst case
+4.5%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| espn-bet | 3.80 | +3.2% |
| theScore | 3.80 | +3.2% |
| TABtouch | 3.75 | +1.9% |
| Betfair Exchange | 3.70 | +0.5% |
| 4cx | 3.64 | -1.1% |
| bet105 | 3.56 | -3.3% |
| Bodog | 3.55 | -3.6% |
| Betano | 3.55 | -3.6% |
| Bovada | 3.55 | -3.6% |
| Coolbet | 3.55 | -3.6% |
| FanDuel | 3.55 | -3.6% |
| PlayNow | 3.55 | -3.6% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.80 odds → 26% implied win probability
27%
Fair win probability
+3.7% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 28, 22:51 UTC at 3.90 (+4.5% edge) → fair price at close 3.66 → closing-line value +2.0%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.90 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Ball State vs Stony Brook
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