GuimaraesvsArouca
Every tracked price on Guimaraes vs Arouca, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| SX Bet | Arouca | 4.35 | -1.4% |
| Betfair Exchange | Draw | 3.76 | -1.6% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Draw | 3.76 | -1.6% |
| Supabets | Guimaraes | 1.93 | -1.8% |
| Kalshi | Guimaraes | 1.93 | -1.8% |
| 1XBet | Guimaraes | 1.92 | -2.2% |
| Superbet | Guimaraes | 1.92 | -2.2% |
| Coolbet | Guimaraes | 1.90 | -3.1% |
+19.7%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +19.7% across 911 settled signals last 30 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz Sports | Guimaraes | 1.89 | -3.5% |
| 1XBet | Draw | 3.68 | -3.7% |
| SX Bet | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| 22bet | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| Betsafe | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| iBet | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| Rizk | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| Betsson | Guimaraes | 1.88 | -4.3% |
| 1XBet | Arouca | 4.22 | -4.4% |
| Caesars | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| William Hill | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Sportingbet | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Sports Interaction | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| bwin | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| BC.GAME | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| betwhale | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Rivalry | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Betplay | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Fanatics | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| betPARX | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Bally Bet | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| BetNation | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Casumo | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Hard Rock (Florida) | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Hard Rock | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Proline | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Play Eagle | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| NorthStar Bets | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| Hard Rock (Illinois) | Guimaraes | 1.87 | -4.7% |
| BetDEX | Draw | 3.62 | -5.2% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Guimaraes 1.96 · Draw 3.82 · Arouca 4.41. How fair prices are made.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Mushuc Runa vs Orense SC
· Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer — pick Mushuc Runa
@ 1.93
99
Omen Score
Why this bet
+5.0%
Entry edge
+2.0%
Edge near close
+0.3%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.89
Fair price (no-vig)
2.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
5
Sharp books
Prime pick
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
2.2%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.0%
Shin
+5.0%
Power
+5.0%
Additive
-3.1%
Worst case
+5.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Bodog | 1.93 | +2.0% |
| Bovada | 1.93 | +2.0% |
| Heritage | 1.92 | +1.6% |
| Superbet | 1.92 | +1.6% |
| Betfair Exchange | 1.92 | +1.6% |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92 | +1.6% |
| Betano | 1.91 | +1.1% |
| Betamapola | 1.91 | +1.1% |
| Fliff | 1.87 | -1.0% |
| Sportzino | 1.83 | -2.9% |
| BetDEX | 1.81 | -4.0% |
| Bet105 | 1.80 | -4.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.93 odds → 52% implied win probability
53%
Fair win probability
+5.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Soccer) — +7.9% settled ROI on 40% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.7% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +4.1% settled ROI on 38% winners
Past performance
+7.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.6% 🔒
Average return
+3.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
84%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.1% to +4.4% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:35 UTC at 2.10 (+5.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.90 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Guimaraes vs Arouca
is on the member board now ·
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