Cristian PerezvsLogan Paxton
Every tracked price on Cristian Perez vs Logan Paxton, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Logan Paxton | 1.03 | — |
| Polymarket | Cristian Perez | 1.03 | — |
+20.5%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +20.5% across 952 settled signals last 30 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
A no-vig fair price for this match appears once enough independent books have priced it.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahce
@ 1.98
99
Omen Score
Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.10 | +9.2% |
| BetOnline | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| SportsBetting.ag | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| Betr AU | 1.93 | +0.1% |
| BC.Game | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Betplay | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Rivalry | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Betwhale | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Jazz Sports | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Coolbet | 1.90 | -1.2% |
| Sx.Bet | 1.88 | -2.4% |
| Betmania | 1.88 | -2.4% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +6.4% settled ROI on 47% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.1% settled ROI on 39% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.2% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
+4.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+4.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
60%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +6.2% to +5.1% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Cristian Perez vs Logan Paxton
is on the member board now ·
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