Umar NurmagomedovvsSong Yadong
Every tracked price on Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1XBet | Song Yadong | 5.00 | +7.0% |
| BetDeluxe | Song Yadong | 4.80 | +2.7% |
| SurgeBet | Song Yadong | 4.80 | +2.7% |
| BetNation (Australia) | Song Yadong | 4.80 | +2.7% |
| Betr | Song Yadong | 4.58 | -2.0% |
| Novig | Song Yadong | 4.55 | -2.6% |
| Bovada | Song Yadong | 4.55 | -2.6% |
| Bodog | Song Yadong | 4.55 | -2.6% |
+16.9%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +16.9% across 2,207 settled signals last 365 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| NetBet | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| BetOnline | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| Sportsbetting.ag | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| DraftKings | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| STN Sports | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| FanDuel | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| NorthStar Bets | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| theScore | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| Boomers | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| Coolbet | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| Fliff | Song Yadong | 4.50 | -3.7% |
| Stake | Song Yadong | 4.40 | -5.8% |
| Unibet (Australia) | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Unibet | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| betPARX | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Bally Bet | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| BetRivers | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Desert Diamond | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| SugarHouse | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| TwinSpires | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| RushBet | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Four Winds | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| TABtouch | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| LeoVegas | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Play Eagle | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| Proline | Song Yadong | 4.35 | -6.9% |
| BC.GAME | Song Yadong | 4.30 | -8.0% |
| betwhale | Song Yadong | 4.30 | -8.0% |
| Rivalry | Song Yadong | 4.30 | -8.0% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Umar Nurmagomedov 1.35 · Song Yadong 4.67. How fair prices are made.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99
Omen Score
Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.10 | +9.2% |
| BetOnline | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| SportsBetting.ag | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| Betr AU | 1.93 | +0.1% |
| BC.Game | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Betplay | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Rivalry | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Betwhale | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Jazz Sports | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Coolbet | 1.90 | -1.2% |
| Sx.Bet | 1.88 | -2.4% |
| Betmania | 1.88 | -2.4% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +6.4% settled ROI on 47% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.1% settled ROI on 39% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.2% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
+4.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+4.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
60%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +6.2% to +5.1% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong
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Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).