UEFA Champions League · Soccer · Jul 14, 2026 21:00 CEST · avg book margin 6.7%

Shamrock Rovers FCvsFloriana FC

Bet99 lagged 13 minutes on Shamrock Rovers FC repricing, leaving 23% value on the board after live goal swing

+23% window, 13 min74%86%99% market median Bet99 (slowest)

During Shamrock Rovers FC vs Floriana FC (UEFA Champions League), a 30-minute goal reset the match at 2–1. Within 8 minutes, the consensus across 152+ sportsbooks had recalibrated: Shamrock Rovers FC's implied probability climbed from 80% to 94%. Most of the field synchronized within seconds. Bet99 did not.

Speed of repricing fractures across the market. 1xBet and 888sport both executed in roughly 1 minute; of the 126 books that moved at all, the median lag sat at 0 minutes. Yet delays persisted at slower outlets: Rushbet needed 8 minutes, William Hill 5, and Bet99 required 13 to align.

Shamrock Rovers FC stayed overpriced at Bet99 for 13 minutes straight—yielding approximately 23% of added value against the repriced consensus, even as a 14-point edge hung visible. The mismatch has since vanished. Live-betting dislocations of this scale happen routinely; spotting them before they compress remains the practical bottleneck.

Beating the sharpest capital to a correction is a fool's errand. What works: cataloging which outlets habitually lag and tracking those patterns. Our data captures these delays across both pre-match and in-play settings.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Shamrock Rovers FC vs Floriana FC is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).