Chicago SkyvsSeattle Storm
Seattle Storm–Chicago Sky: Asian handicap traders split 2.0% wide with 36 hours to game time
What happened: Final score: 95–90. The edge paid: the recommended side won, returning +1.04 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +1.8% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 36 hours after detection before the edge closed.
The Asian handicap for Seattle Storm vs Chicago Sky (WNBA) has fractured across the betting market. One bookmaker's price now sits 2.0% apart from the field, a gap that emerged well before tipoff.
This outlier trades 3.5 standard deviations beyond the cluster — far enough to hint at real pricing error rather than the noise that populates most markets.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92
Omen Score
Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| BC.Game | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| betplay | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| rivalry | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| betwhale | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| Heritage Sports | 2.04 | +1.6% |
| Betway | 2.00 | -0.4% |
| FanDuel | 2.00 | -0.4% |
| Bet99 | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| espn-bet | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| theScore | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| DraftKings | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| BetRight | 1.94 | -3.3% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm
is on the member board now ·
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