FIFA World Cup · Soccer · Jul 15, 2026 19:00 UTC · avg book margin 5.1%

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Englandvs🇦🇷 Argentina

Best odds right now: which bookmakers are beating the market (FIFA World Cup)

Novig · Draw+2.1%PlayNow · Draw+1.1%Mise-o-jeu · Draw+1.1%22bet · Draw+0.4%1XBet · Draw+0.4%CampoBet · England-0.2%BetOnline · Draw-0.3%Sportsbetting.ag · Draw-0.3%

1 hours before kickoff, the sharp consensus prices England vs Argentina at England 35%, Argentina 31%, draw 34%. Every bookmaker prices around that consensus — some closer than others. The gap between a book's price and fair value is the only number that matters when choosing where to bet.

How to read the table: a POSITIVE gap means the book is paying more than the consensus says the outcome is worth — the closer to zero or above, the better the deal. Prices move constantly; this page refreshes as the market does.

BookmakerSideOddsGap vs fair
NovigDraw3.03+2.1%
PlayNowDraw3.00+1.1%
Mise-o-jeuDraw3.00+1.1%
22betDraw2.98+0.4%
1XBetDraw2.98+0.4%
CampoBetEngland2.86-0.2%
BetOnlineDraw2.96-0.3%
Sportsbetting.agDraw2.96-0.3%

Prices change constantly and may differ by region. Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for England vs Argentina is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).