WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 17, 2026 14:30 UTC · avg book margin 5.3%
Barbora KrejcikovavsQinwen Zheng
Krejcikova–Zheng moneyline: CampoBet inflated 12.9% versus sharp consensus, 16 hours to serve
What happened: Final score: 2–0. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-4.8% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 12 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 488 live signals across 182 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 15.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The moneyline for Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng (WTA Tour) has split bookmakers 16 hours before first serve, with CampoBet quoting decimal odds of 2.30 on one side—a 12.9% overvaluation relative to where 3 independent sharp operators have priced it. The edge is active now, available as this page renders.
That consensus line rests on 3 separate sharp sources, so the fair value underpinning this mispricing reflects multiple independent reads, not a lone bookmaker's view.
The matchup and odds tier align with 4 patterns from our Playbook with positive track records. The strongest performer has returned +7.5% on closed bets.
Tennis moneyline signals in this odds band have produced +4.7% ROI across 1792 resolved bets in our historical database.
Gaps this wide typically compress before the opening serve. In this market class, comparable edges have historically tightened within roughly 12 hours.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 17, 2026 16:32 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).