What happened: Final score: 2–0. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +8.8% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 17 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 12.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The moneyline for Julia Grabher vs Jeline Vandromme (WTA Tour) has fractured across bookmakers with 13 hours until play begins. Unibet is quoting decimal odds of 2.06 on one outcome—a price that sits 14.5% above where independent sharp operators have converged. The mispricing is live and accessible as this article publishes.
A single quote has moved 4.5 standard deviations from the broader consensus—a statistical gap that moves beyond random market chatter and into territory that suggests genuine disagreement.
The consensus backing that edge draws from 3 separate sharp sources, so the implied fair price reflects multiple independent reads rather than any single operator's view.
Four distinct patterns from our Playbook align with this matchup's structure and odds range. The highest-returning variant has realized +7.5% across closed positions.
The segment holding this signal—tennis moneyline at these odds—has produced +4.6% ROI across 1790 resolved bets in our historical tracking. Comparable edges in this space have demonstrated staying power.
Mispricings of this magnitude do not linger. Market data suggests edges like this typically compress within roughly 12 hours as sharp action tightens the gap.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Julia Grabher vs Jeline Vandromme
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 17, 2026 13:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).