Peruvian Primera Division · Soccer · Jul 18, 2026 18:30 -05 · avg book margin 8.2%

Cusco FCvsAlianza Atlético

Cusco FC routed Alianza Atlético 4–1 on an 11.6% mispriced handicap — market tightened before the whistle

Offered at Coolbet2.42Fair price2.17+11.6% above fair

Omenizer detected 7 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

A Peruvian Primera Division matchup between Cusco FC and Alianza Atlético carried a structural gap in the Asian handicap market. At Coolbet, one side quoted at decimal 2.42 — an 11.6% deviation above the sharp consensus. The odds persisted long enough for positioned bettors to secure the price.

Cusco FC won 4–1. Flat 1-unit stakes at the flagged price returned +1.42 units.

What separates signal from luck: the closing line drifted +11.1% in the direction of the bet. Closing-line value strips away randomness. A scoreline can land anywhere; a price shift toward your side cannot be manufactured by chance.

Across 1590 resolved bets in this category — soccer Asian handicap in the mid-range odds tier — the signal pool has recorded +2.1% ROI.

Detection happens live, continuously, before matches start. The same system that surfaced this edge runs every day to expose market inefficiencies while they remain exploitable. No reconstruction, no hindsight scoring.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Cusco FC vs Alianza Atlético is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Jul 20, 2026 04:45 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).