Draw or away win mispriced at Unibet: 7.0% divergence from sharp consensus 6 hours out
What happened: Final score: 3–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 196 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 8 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 6.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Swedish Superettan matchup Osters IF vs IK Brage has fractured the 1X2 market across operators. Unibet is quoting decimal odds of 3.45 on one outcome—a 7.0% gap above where independent sharp sources have settled on fair value. The edge is active now; kickoff is 6 hours away.
The consensus emerges from 3 separate sharp books, so the underlying fair line reflects multiple independent models rather than a single operator's view.
Four patterns from the historical Playbook align with this signal structure. The strongest of them has posted +7.8% on resolved positions.
Soccer 1X2 bets in this odds range carry a track record: 2735 settled signals show +5.2% ROI across the aggregate.
Mispricings in this market segment have historically compressed within roughly 22 hours as sharp capital moves in and corrects the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Osters IF vs IK Brage
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 18, 2026 17:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).