WNBA · Basketball · Jul 19, 2026 00:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.2%

Indiana Fever–New York Liberty totals split bookmakers by 3.4% — 31 hours until tipoff

Offered2.00Fair price1.93+3.4% above fair
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
92
Omen Score
+3.4%
Edge vs sharp consensus
80
Confidence
13
Sharp sources
Pick: Over Indiana Fever|85.5 @ 2.00
Fits 4 Playbook patterns — strongest has realized +13.6% on settled bets
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now · see them all with a free account
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
NovigIndiana Fever2.15-1.2%
BET99New York Liberty1.83-2.0%
Jazz SportsNew York Liberty1.83-2.0%
CaesarsNew York Liberty1.83-2.0%
William HillNew York Liberty1.83-2.0%
1XBetNew York Liberty1.83-2.4%
ESPN BETIndiana Fever2.10-3.5%
theScoreIndiana Fever2.10-3.5%
Hard RockIndiana Fever2.10-3.5%
888sportIndiana Fever2.10-3.5%
HeritageNew York Liberty1.80-3.8%
FanaticsNew York Liberty1.80-3.8%
DraftKingsNew York Liberty1.80-3.8%
FanDuelIndiana Fever2.08-4.4%
SportsbetIndiana Fever2.08-4.4%
4CxIndiana Fever2.08-4.4%
NovigNew York Liberty1.79-4.5%
BraccoNew York Liberty1.78-4.8%
Unibet (United Kingdom)New York Liberty1.78-4.8%
SuperbetNew York Liberty1.78-4.8%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

With 31 hours left before Indiana Fever takes on New York Liberty (WNBA), the totals market has fractured across sportsbooks. The widest-priced side is currently 3.4% above what sharp consensus identifies as fair value. The mispricing is live right now — this window closes as market consensus hardens.

Bookmakers have scattered their quotes more than usual on this matchup. When that happens, the sharp consensus reveals which direction the market has drifted too far.

That consensus rests on 13 independent sharp operators, so it represents genuine disagreement in the market rather than any single book's isolated view.

Four patterns from our historical Playbook align with this signal's structure. The most profitable variant has returned +13.6% across its settled bets.

In the past, basketball totals at similar odds intervals have produced +30.4% ROI across 32 closed positions. The bet type and price tier match what we've tracked before.

Mispricings at this scale typically vanish fast. For totals in this market, the edge has historically survived roughly 17 hours before sharp money corrects the line.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm · WNBA · Basketball — pick Chicago Sky @ 2.10
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.0%
Entry edge
+6.2%
Edge near close
1.98
Fair price (no-vig)
2.04
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
6
Sharp books
Prime pick
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
1.9%
Recommended stake
5.6%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Price is 3.4σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.10+6.2%
Betway2.00+1.1%
Heritage2.00+1.1%
Hard Rock2.00+1.1%
Unibet2.00+1.1%
Bwin1.98+0.1%
BetMGM1.98+0.1%
Borgata1.98+0.1%
Partypoker1.98+0.1%
Sportingbet1.98+0.1%
Sportsinteraction1.98+0.1%
Neds1.95-1.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.10 odds → 48% implied win probability
51%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.2% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Past performance

Based on 3,622 similar market conditions over the last 60 days

+8.6% 🔒
Closing line value
+3.4% 🔒
Average return
+7.7% 🔒
Beat the closing line
46%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +5.5% to +2.9% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 14, 03:33 UTC at 2.04 (+2.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.96 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.04 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).