MLB · Baseball · Jul 19, 2026 12:35 EDT · avg book margin 7.9%

New York YankeesvsLos Angeles Dodgers

Yankees-Dodgers totals market shows 6.6% mismatch with sharp pricing — 10 hours until game time

Offered2.50Fair price2.35+6.6% above fair
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
BetManiaNew York Yankees2.17+-0.0%
BetOpenlyNew York Yankees2.16-0.5%
NovigNew York Yankees2.15-0.9%
Prophet XNew York Yankees2.15-0.9%
EverygameNew York Yankees2.15-0.9%
NovigLos Angeles Dodgers1.85-1.1%
Tailgate ExchangeNew York Yankees2.14-1.4%
SX BetNew York Yankees2.14-1.4%
BoomersNew York Yankees2.14-1.4%
BetNowNew York Yankees2.14-1.4%
BetUSNew York Yankees2.14-1.4%
1XBetLos Angeles Dodgers1.85-1.5%
Tailgate ExchangeLos Angeles Dodgers1.84-1.8%
BraccoNew York Yankees2.13-1.9%
YouWagerNew York Yankees2.13-1.9%
BetGRWNew York Yankees2.13-1.9%
Prime SportsNew York Yankees2.13-1.9%
bet105New York Yankees2.13-1.9%
SX BetLos Angeles Dodgers1.83-2.2%
4CxLos Angeles Dodgers1.83-2.2%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

Bookmakers are split on the run total for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB). With 10 hours to first pitch, one side of the totals market trades 6.6% away from what sharp consensus operators have priced — a discrepancy that remains actionable right now, as markets update in real time.

When sportsbooks diverge this sharply on a single market, disagreement is structural. The sharp consensus identifies where the edge lies.

Five independent sharp sources converge on the fair line, so this edge rests on distributed professional judgment rather than a single operator's model.

The signal aligns with 11 patterns in our historical Playbook — the best-performing variant has posted +14.7% return on closed positions.

Baseball totals at these odds levels carry precedent: 1192 settled bets in this segment have returned +2.6% ROI aggregate, tracked across our database.

Mispricings this size do not typically survive until first pitch — historical data on similar signals suggests convergence within roughly 20 hours as sharp money flows toward fair value.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).