1xBet's 1X2 quote trades 21.5% soft to sharp consensus, 17 hours to kickoff
What happened: Final score: 1–0. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.95 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +19.3% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 11 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 488 live signals across 182 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 17.2 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The 1X2 (match result) market for Club Libertad vs Delfin SC (Ecuadorian Serie A) has fractured across sportsbooks with 17 hours remaining. At 1xBet, one outcome sits at decimal 2.95—a level 21.5% below what independent sharp operators consider fair value. The mismatch is active now as this page loads, not a historical artifact.
1xBet's price registers 5.6 standard deviations from the consensus cluster—a statistical anomaly that transcends ordinary market churn.
Four professional-grade sources anchor the consensus, making it a collective judgment rather than any single book's position.
Four patterns from our Playbook align with this setup; the most reliable has posted +8.0% ROI on closed bets.
Soccer 1X2 wagers in this odds range have returned +5.1% ROI across 2755 settled bets on our board—a baseline for how often such mispricings reverse.
Pricing gaps this wide rarely survive to kickoff: comparable edges in this market have held for roughly 25 hours before sharp action erases them.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Club Libertad vs Delfin SC
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 21, 2026 23:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).