Sturm Graz demolished Heart of Midlothian 4–0: a 9.1% mispricing at PointsBet closed in the backer's favor
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 488 live signals across 182 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
A mispricing in the Asian handicap market for Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian (UEFA Champions League) presented itself at PointsBet before the match began. Decimal odds of 2.25 on one side diverged 9.1% from sharp consensus. The board flagged the gap while bettors could still act on it.
Sturm Graz won 4–0. On a 1-unit flat stake at the flagged decimal, the payout was +1.25 units.
What separates luck from edge is closing-line value. By kickoff, the market had shifted +2.2% in favor of the backed side—evidence the market was recalibrating toward truth. CLV is what professionals use to audit bet quality, because one match result tells you almost nothing.
Across 1613 settled bets in soccer Asian handicap at these odds levels, this segment has returned +2.2% ROI on the board.
Detection happens live, before kickoff, not after. The board surfaces mispricings the moment they appear—while betting windows remain open and capital can deploy.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 22, 2026 04:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).