Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer · Jul 22, 2026 14:00 -05 · avg book margin 8.4%
MacarávsDeportivo Cuenca
Asian handicap at Jazz Sports is 5.1% inflated over sharp consensus, 8 hours to kickoff
What happened: Final score: 3–0. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.30 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +2.4% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 96 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 9 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 7.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
With 8 hours remaining before Macará and Deportivo Cuenca face off in Ecuador's Serie A, Jazz Sports is quoting decimal odds of 2.23 on one side of the Asian handicap—a 5.1% overline relative to where independent sharp operators have anchored consensus fair value. The mispricing is active now, not historical: this pricing window remains measurable as the page publishes.
The outlier sits 2.1 standard deviations away from where the broader market has clustered—signal rather than routine fluctuation.
That consensus fair line reflects input from 2 independent sharp sources, meaning the baseline isn't one operator's lone opinion.
Our Playbook archives 5 historical patterns that match this exact setup, with the top performer returning +8.8% ROI on closed bets.
Soccer Asian handicap signals in this odds range carry documented weight: 1614 settled bets in comparable mispricings across our records have realized +2.2% ROI.
Mispricings at this scale rarely survive to game time—comparable edges in this market segment have historically tightened within roughly 11 hours as sharp action corrects the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Macará vs Deportivo Cuenca
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 22, 2026 21:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).