WNBA · Basketball · Jul 22, 2026 22:00 EDT

Portland FirevsDallas Wings

Prophet X was 19 minutes behind the repricing, giving bettors a 6-point edge on Dallas

6pp window, 19 min15%32%48% market median Prophet X (slowest)

When Portland Fire's winning probability fell from 43% to 26% across 124+ bookmakers during the 46-minute mark of their WNBA matchup with Dallas Wings—triggered by the score moving to 18–24—the shift happened in about 1 minute. Prophet X, however, kept quoting the old odds. For 19 minutes after the market moved, that single book sat 6 points soft on Dallas, visible to anyone watching.

Most shops adapted quickly to the new information. 1xBet and 888sport were among the fastest at roughly 1 minute; across the 76 books that repriced, the median was also 1 minute. Three lagged notably: betparx and betjack each took 11 minutes, while Prophet X dragged to 19 minutes.

The gap is only visible now that it has sealed. During those 19 minutes, sharp traders could have backed Dallas Wings at Prophet X's stale price while all other major operators had already shifted lower. A 6-point discrepancy on a single board is exactly the kind of edge that surfaces and closes regularly in live markets—spotting it in real time is what separates active traders from passive bettors.

Chasing the fastest repricing is a losing game. The profitable move is identifying which books consistently move last and tracking the exact lag each time it widens. That intel matters both before the match starts and while play unfolds.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Portland Fire vs Dallas Wings is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).