Guatemala Liga Nacional · Soccer · Jul 24, 2026 20:00 CST

CSD MunicipalvsCSyD Mixco

Guatemala Liga Nacional: CSD Municipal's 28-point repricing left a 7-minute window where bettors faced a 34% softer price at betwhale

+34% window, 7 min58%78%97% market median betwhale (slowest)

CSD Municipal's win probability swung from 63% to 91% in 7 minutes after the 50th-minute goal in CSD Municipal vs CSyD Mixco, holding firm once the repricing settled across 21+ bookmakers. That repricing was real market movement, not noise.

Speed varied sharply. 1xBet and 888sport were quickest, adjusting in roughly 1 minute. The median move took 3 minutes across 18 books that shifted. betwhale, rivalry, and betplay all needed 7 minutes to catch up.

The misprice is closed now, so the full detail can be shown: for about 7 minutes, bettors taking CSD Municipal at betwhale's stale level were getting roughly 34% more favorable odds than the repriced market, while a 23-point gap remained visible on screen. Every day, windows like this appear and vanish on live boards; the challenge is spotting them before they disappear.

You cannot outrun the fastest repricing moves—nor do you need to. What matters is spotting which bookmakers consistently move late and exactly how big and how long their gaps get. Our board measures that lagging pattern both pre-match and live.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for CSD Municipal vs CSyD Mixco is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).