NorthStar Bets has the 1X2 market priced 4.1% soft to sharp consensus, 48 hours out
What happened: Final score: 1–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +3.5% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 49 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 4 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 48 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
With two days until Bahia face Corinthians in Brazilian Serie A, the 1X2 (match result) market has split across operators. NorthStar Bets is showing decimal odds of 3.65 on one outcome—a 4.1% gap from the consensus price established by independent sharp sources. The mispricing remains active as this page renders, not historical.
The NorthStar quote sits 2.3 standard deviations away from market consensus—far enough to register as a genuine dislocation rather than routine volatility.
Five independent sharp operators have converged on the consensus line, meaning the edge reflects aggregated professional calibration rather than one book's isolated view.
The setup matches 2 patterns from our historical Playbook. The strongest of these has realized +8.1% ROI on closed wagers.
In soccer 1X2 matches at mid-range odds, settled bets in this exact category have generated +5.1% ROI across 2815 wagers tracked on our board—a baseline for how often such dislocations reverse.
Mispricings this size rarely survive to kickoff. Comparable edges in this market segment have historically compressed within roughly 27 hours as sharp action reprices the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Record settled · last updated Jul 26, 2026 21:12 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).