Brazilian Serie A · Soccer · Jul 26, 2026 21:30 UTC · avg book margin 5.4%
Bragantino and Coritiba played to 0–0; Unibet's Asian handicap was 5.7% soft, and the closing line proved the board caught it right
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 654 live signals across 321 matches, found the same way.
When Bragantino faced Coritiba in Brazilian Serie A, the Asian handicap market at Unibet showed a price trading at decimal 2.00—a 5.7% departure from sharp consensus. The board flagged the discrepancy in time for backers to move.
The match ended 0–0. Bets placed at the flagged price cashed for +1.00 units on each 1-unit stake.
Closing-line value is where edge validation lives: by the opening whistle, the price had shifted +0.6% in the backed direction. Market movement toward a flagged side before play starts is how professionals separate signal from luck, because a single result tells you almost nothing.
Over 1697 settled bets in this category—mid-range soccer Asian handicap plays—the cumulative return reads +2.2% ROI.
This engine detects mispricings live, as bookmakers release odds, and surfaces them while action is still possible. The board runs every day before kickoff, not after final whistles and score reversals.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Mushuc Runa vs Orense SC
· Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer — pick Mushuc Runa
@ 1.93
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.0%
Shin
+5.0%
Power
+5.0%
Additive
-3.1%
Worst case
+5.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bodog
1.93
+2.0%
Bovada
1.93
+2.0%
Heritage
1.92
+1.6%
Superbet
1.92
+1.6%
Betfair Exchange
1.92
+1.6%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
1.92
+1.6%
Betano
1.91
+1.1%
Betamapola
1.91
+1.1%
Fliff
1.87
-1.0%
Sportzino
1.83
-2.9%
BetDEX
1.81
-4.0%
Bet105
1.80
-4.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.93 odds → 52% implied win probability
53%
Fair win probability
+5.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Soccer) — +7.9% settled ROI on 40% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.7% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +4.1% settled ROI on 38% winners
Past performance
Based on 102 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.6% 🔒
Average return
+3.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
84%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.1% to +4.4% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:35 UTC at 2.10 (+5.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.90 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Bragantino vs Coritiba
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 27, 2026 05:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).