Coolbet undercuts sharp consensus on Palmeiras–Atletico Mineiro by 2.9%, 46 hours to market close
What happened: Final score: 1–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-3.9% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 46 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 31 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 46.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Coolbet is quoting decimal odds of 3.85 on one outcome in the Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro 1X2 market (Brazilian Serie A)—a 2.9% gap below where independent sharp operators have priced fair value. The edge is live now; this measurement reflects the current state of play, with 46 hours until kickoff.
Five independent sharp sources anchor the consensus line, so the mismatch reflects distributed professional judgment rather than a single operator's read.
The configuration fits 3 patterns from the Playbook—the best-performing has logged +8.3% ROI on closed bets.
Soccer 1X2 bets at these odds have returned +5.1% ROI across 2823 settled wagers tracked historically—a baseline for reversal frequency in this segment.
Mispricings of this size rarely last to kickoff; comparable edges in this market have typically compressed within 27 hours as sharps reprice.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 27, 2026 00:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).