Brazilian Serie A · Soccer · Jul 30, 2026 22:30 UTC · avg book margin 5.9%
Corinthians–Athletico Paranaense drew 0–0, but the 16.2% soft price at SportsBetting.ag tightened before the whistle—that's the pattern worth tracking
Omenizer detected 38 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
Our detection system caught a pricing gap in the Asian handicap market ahead of Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense (Brazilian Serie A). At SportsBetting.ag, decimal odds of 2.38 sat 16.2% above the sharp consensus. The signal ran live while the market remained liquid.
The match ended scoreless. Neither side landed a decisive goal—a 0–0 result that produces a loss on this particular flagged position. Single games distribute like coin flips around any genuine edge, which is why we publish them regardless of outcome.
The metric that carries weight: market repricing. By kickoff, the odds had moved +0.0% in favor of the flagged side, building closing-line value. Professionals measure on this shift because price movement contains signal; match results contain mostly noise.
Across 1728 settled bets in this segment—soccer Asian handicap, this odds tier—the return accumulated to +3.1% ROI on our board.
The system that surfaced this edge runs live each day before kickoff, scanning for mispricings as they occur. The board displays them in real time, while the window to act remains open—not after the final whistle.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Mushuc Runa vs Orense SC
· Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer — pick Mushuc Runa
@ 1.93
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.0%
Shin
+5.0%
Power
+5.0%
Additive
-3.1%
Worst case
+5.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bodog
1.93
+2.0%
Bovada
1.93
+2.0%
Heritage
1.92
+1.6%
Superbet
1.92
+1.6%
Betfair Exchange
1.92
+1.6%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
1.92
+1.6%
Betano
1.91
+1.1%
Betamapola
1.91
+1.1%
Fliff
1.87
-1.0%
Sportzino
1.83
-2.9%
BetDEX
1.81
-4.0%
Bet105
1.80
-4.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.93 odds → 52% implied win probability
53%
Fair win probability
+5.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Soccer) — +7.9% settled ROI on 40% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.7% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +4.1% settled ROI on 38% winners
Past performance
Based on 102 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.6% 🔒
Average return
+3.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
84%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.1% to +4.4% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:35 UTC at 2.10 (+5.0% edge) → fair price at close 1.90 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 31, 2026 06:23 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).