Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer · Aug 02, 2026 00:00 UTC
Superbet overpricing Emelec result at 2.45 odds — 5.5% above sharp consensus, 48 hours to kickoff
Omenizer detected 8 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
79
Omen Score
+5.5%
Edge vs sharp consensus
95
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Pick: Emelec
@ 2.45 — best price at Superbet
Fits 2 Playbook patterns — strongest has realized +8.4% on settled bets
In the 1X2 market for Emelec vs SD Aucas (Ecuadorian Serie A), a gap has opened between Superbet and the rest of the field. One outcome is quoting at decimal odds of 2.45 on Superbet—5.5% higher than where independent sharp operators have priced it. The mismatch is live right now, not a post-hoc observation: you're reading this while the window remains open.
Superbet's quote sits 2.3 standard deviations away from where the broader market has clustered. That gap is too wide to be random fluctuation—it signals genuine mispricing.
Three independent sharp sources converge on the consensus price, so the fair line isn't one bookmaker's hunch but overlapping professional judgment.
Our Playbook matches this signal to 2 historically profitable patterns; the strongest of them has posted +8.4% ROI on its resolved bets.
Signals in this exact niche—soccer 1X2 (match result), mid-range odds—have produced +4.8% ROI across 2905 settled bets tracked in our data.
Edges in this market don't linger all the way to kickoff. Historically, comparable mispricings have closed in roughly 29 hours as sharp money flows to the mispriced side.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Mushuc Runa vs Orense SC
· Ecuadorian Serie A · Soccer — pick Mushuc Runa
@ 1.93
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).