WNBA · Basketball · Aug 06, 2026 19:00 EDT · avg book margin 6.5%
Indiana FevervsLas Vegas Aces
Fever–Aces Asian handicap: SABA Sports overvalues at 1.98, sitting 2.7% above sharp consensus 8 hours before tipoff
What happened: Final score: 84–86. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-4.9% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 20 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 2 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 7.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—8 hours before Indiana Fever face Las Vegas Aces in WNBA play—the Asian handicap market shows a split across operators. SABA Sports quotes one side at decimal odds of 1.98, placing it 2.7% above where consensus settles among independent sharp sources. The pricing gap remains unresolved at time of analysis.
That SABA Sports quote lands 3.3 standard deviations from the professional cluster—a statistical separation that signals genuine disagreement, not routine market variance.
The consensus draws from 5 independent sharp operators, so the theoretical fair value anchoring this edge reflects multiple professional judgments rather than a single sportsbook's view.
Our Playbook flags 6 historical configurations that align with this signal. The strongest performer has recorded +14.7% ROI across its settled slate.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 07, 2026 01:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).