WNBA · Basketball · Aug 07, 2026 19:30 EDT · avg book margin 6.7%

Washington MysticsvsAtlanta Dream

Mystics–Dream Asian handicap overpriced 8.1% at Proline, 11 hours to WNBA tipoff

What happened: Final score: 79–74. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.15 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.8% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 11 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Offered at Proline2.15Fair price1.99+8.1% above fair

Omenizer detected 8 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 11.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection—11 hours before the Washington Mystics meet the Atlanta Dream in the WNBA—a fracture opens in the Asian handicap market. Proline quotes decimal odds of 2.15, an 8.1% overquote relative to where independent sharp operators have anchored their consensus value. The pricing gap remains unresolved.

The Proline quote sits 2.8 standard deviations above the professional cluster—a statistical anomaly signaling genuine disagreement rather than routine market scatter.

Five independent sharp sources form the consensus, ensuring the theoretical fair value behind this edge does not rest on any single professional house's opinion.

Our Playbook identifies 6 historical patterns matching this setup. The strongest has delivered +13.1% ROI on its settled record.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Washington Mystics vs Atlanta Dream is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Aug 08, 2026 02:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).