Betamapola pricing 1X2 outcome at 2.90, a 5.1% premium to sharp consensus—10 hours to start
What happened: Final score: 1–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-7.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 3 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 9.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Ecuadorian Serie A fixture Delfin SC vs Orense SC arrives with the 1X2 (match result) market fragmented across operators. At detection, 10 hours before kickoff, betamapola quotes decimal odds of 2.90 on one outcome—a price sitting 5.1% above where sharp professionals have converged. The dislocation is active and measurable as of writing.
betamapola's quote is positioned 4.5 standard deviations distant from the sharp cluster. That separation signals genuine market disagreement, not the routine scatter of pricing fluctuations.
The consensus line is built by 4 independent sharp operators, meaning the theoretical fair value behind this edge does not depend on any single professional's assessment.
Our Playbook matches this scenario against 6 historically profitable setups. The strongest-performing pattern has recorded +9.4% ROI across its settled instances.
In soccer 1X2 (match result) markets at mid-range odds, a documented baseline exists: 3105 settled bets tracked on our board have accumulated +4.0% cumulative ROI. This segment provides the track record against which current signals are measured.
Pricing dislocations of this scale have historically compressed before match start. In this market category, edges of comparable magnitude have typically persisted for roughly 36 hours as books and informed capital converge toward equilibrium.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Delfin SC vs Orense SC
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 09, 2026 23:12 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).