Polish Ekstraklasa · Soccer · Aug 09, 2026 14:45 CEST · avg book margin 7.1%
Śląsk WrocławvsCracovia
BetUS offers Asian handicap at 2.00, overpriced by 7.4% versus sharp consensus—2 hours to kickoff
What happened: Final score: 0–0. The bet pushed — stake returned. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 2 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 2 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, 2 hours before Śląsk Wrocław and Cracovia kick off in the Polish Ekstraklasa, the Asian handicap market reveals a pricing split. BetUS quotes one side at decimal odds of 2.00—a level that sits 7.4% above where sharps have clustered. The edge is still available; the window remains open as of writing.
BetUS's quote lands 3.8 standard deviations removed from the consensus—structural disagreement masquerading as market noise, except it isn't noise.
Five independent sharp sources have converged on the opposing line. The fair value beneath this dislocation doesn't rest on any single operator's opinion.
Our Playbook flags 5 historically profitable setups that match this scenario. The best-performing pattern has realized +10.0% ROI when settled.
In soccer Asian handicap markets at these odds tiers, 1889 settled bets on our board have accumulated +2.8% cumulative ROI—establishing a documented baseline for this segment.
Asian handicap pricing dislocations of this scale have typically compressed within roughly 12 hours before match start, as competing books and informed capital converge.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 09, 2026 15:01 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).