Polish Ekstraklasa · Soccer · Aug 09, 2026 14:45 CEST

Śląsk WrocławvsCracovia

Śląsk Wrocław 0–0 Cracovia: market validation on a 7.9% edge, despite the draw

Offered at BetUS2.80Fair price2.59+7.9% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 666 live signals across 275 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

The 1X2 market for Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia (Polish Ekstraklasa) held a pricing anomaly at BetUS as of writing: one outcome carried decimal odds of 2.80, a departure of 7.9% from sharp consensus. The board flagged it ahead of kickoff for bettors with access to the window.

The match ended 0–0. The position lost. Single outcomes operate as near coin flips once you account for the edge, and we document them without direction filters.

Between detection and kickoff, the market drifted in favor of the flagged side — closing +1.2% better than entry (positive closing-line value). CLV is how the trade grades detection, because match results scatter unpredictably while repricing does not.

Across 3170 resolved signals in this category — soccer 1X2 at these odds levels — the aggregate return is +3.9% ROI.

The detection engine writes this analysis before kickoff, surfacing inefficiencies while execution remains available. The live board does not backfill; it timestamps every flag at detection.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Aug 10, 2026 07:30 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).