WNBA · Basketball · Aug 09, 2026 15:00 EDT · avg book margin 4.8%
Washington MysticsvsPhoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics 95, Phoenix Mercury 75: a 7.9% mispricing at heritage closed with the market before tipoff
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, heritage's Asian handicap line for Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) sat 7.9% adrift from sharp consensus, quoted at 2.22 in decimal format. The inefficiency remained executable long enough for placement on the board.
Washington won 95–75. The position returned +1.22 units on a 1-unit stake.
Between detection and tipoff, the market drifted toward the flagged side, closing +3.6% better than the initial capture (positive closing-line value). CLV grades edge detection quality—final outcomes are scattered noise, but repricing during the executable window is not.
Across 39 resolved signals in basketball Asian handicap at this odds tier, the aggregate return stands at +1.8% ROI.
The detection engine generates this analysis before tipoff, surfacing mispricings while execution remains open. The live board does not backfill; it timestamps every flag at detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 10, 2026 07:31 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).