Portuguese LigaPro · Soccer · Aug 10, 2026 17:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.2%
Lusitânia LourosavsFC Porto B
SportsBetting.ag offers 2.13 decimal odds, running 7.7% soft to sharp pricing in Asian handicap—17 hours before start
What happened: Final score: 2–0. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.04 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-3.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 23 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 666 live signals across 275 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 17.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The Asian handicap market for Portuguese LigaPro's Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B exhibits a pricing split at detection, 17 hours before kickoff. SportsBetting.ag has quoted decimal odds of 2.13 on one side—a number sitting 7.7% below the consensus estimate held by independent sharp operators. The dislocation remains active as of writing.
SportsBetting.ag's quote stands 2.3 standard deviations removed from the sharp cluster—genuine divergence in professional judgment, not the everyday variance of market competition.
The sharp consensus is anchored by 4 independent professional operators, so the theoretical fair value underpinning this edge does not rest on any single source.
Our Playbook maps this setup against 10 historically profitable configurations. The best-performing instance has delivered +17.0% ROI when settled.
Soccer Asian handicap markets in this odds range have a documented baseline: 1913 settled bets tracked on our board accumulated +2.5% cumulative ROI, establishing the historical context for current signals.
Dislocations of this magnitude in this market segment have historically compressed within roughly 13 hours as sharper action and cross-market flow push pricing toward equilibrium.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 10, 2026 19:04 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).