WNBA · Basketball · Aug 11, 2026 22:00 EDT · avg book margin 5.1%
Las Vegas AcesvsWashington Mystics
Aces 86, Mystics 76: 15.6% Asian handicap mispricing at detection moved 3.7% closer to fair value by tipoff
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Our board caught an Asian handicap quote on Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics (WNBA) trading 15.6% wide of the sharp benchmark, priced at decimal 2.42 at heritage. The window to execute closed when the game started.
Scoreline: 86–76 to Las Vegas. The flagged side won. A 1-unit stake returned +1.42 units.
What separates luck from edge: the market drifted +3.7% toward the flagged price between detection and kickoff. Professionals measure detection by closing-line value, not by whether the bet wins. Closing prices reveal whether the market agreed with your side; outcomes are variance.
Across 43 closed bets in this detection class — basketball Asian handicap, mid-range odds tier — the aggregate record shows +7.6% ROI.
The detection ran before the opening tip, not after the final buzzer. Our engine surfaces these mispricings on the live board as they form, and holds each signal visible only while the trade window is live.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 12, 2026 07:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).