WNBA · Basketball · Aug 12, 2026 20:00 EDT · avg book margin 5.1%

Dallas WingsvsToronto Tempo

Wings 94, Tempo 88: 13.6% mispricing in Asian handicap cashed with positive closing-line value at detection

How it ended, price by price: Dallas Wings vs Toronto Tempo — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at STN Sports2.23Fair price1.96+13.6% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection, the Asian handicap market for Dallas Wings vs Toronto Tempo (WNBA) showed a decimal price of 2.23 — a 13.6% gap above the sharp consensus at STN Sports. The board flagged the inefficiency before tipoff, and bettors who acted during the window captured that price.

Match result: 94–88. The signal delivered a +1.23 unit return on a 1-unit stake.

What professionals track is the closing-line gap. Between detection and tipoff, the market repriced +1.4% toward the flagged side—a meaningful sign of market efficiency. Closing-line value, not individual outcomes, separates skill from noise over time.

Signals in basketball Asian handicap across this odds band have accumulated +10.2% ROI on 44 settled detections on the board.

Detection runs before tipoff, not after. This page was generated by the same detection engine that surfaces mispricings each day while the execution window is open, then archives the result once the game settles.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Dallas Wings vs Toronto Tempo is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 13, 2026 08:09 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).