WNBA · Basketball · Aug 13, 2026 22:00 EDT · avg book margin 5.2%
Las Vegas AcesvsWashington Mystics
Aces–Mystics Asian handicap: sportingbet quotes 9.6% soft to sharp consensus, 9 hours before tip
What happened: Final score: 83–76. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.19 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-4.7% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 16 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 5 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 8.7 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—9 hours before Las Vegas Aces face Washington Mystics in the WNBA—sportingbet's Asian handicap quote sits visibly separated from where professional oddsmakers have anchored fair value. The decimal odds of 2.25 represent a 9.6% undervaluation relative to the sharp consensus. This pricing gap remains live and available to bettors.
The sportingbet quote lands 2.0 standard deviations beyond the consensus cluster—a structural mispricing, not routine volatility.
The consensus itself is built on calibration across 4 independent sharp sources, so the underlying fair value does not anchor to any single book's model.
This exact signal type aligns with 1 historically profitable pattern from our Playbook; the strongest has realized +22.7% on settled bets.
Basketball Asian handicap bets in this odds bracket carry a documented record: 44 settled wagers in this exact segment have returned +10.2% cumulative ROI. Pricing gaps at this scale do not persist passively.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 14, 2026 04:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).