WNBA · Basketball · Aug 14, 2026 19:30 EDT · avg book margin 5.2%

Indiana FevervsDallas Wings

Fever 98, Wings 87: a 5.9% mispricing in the Asian handicap market moved further in-favor by tipoff

How it ended, price by price: Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at STN Sports2.00Fair price1.89+5.9% above fair

Omenizer detected 17 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection, the Asian handicap market for Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings (WNBA) contained an outlier: STN Sports' consensus sat 5.9% sharper than the price available at that moment, which landed at decimal 2.00. The window to capture that discount remained open through tipoff.

The game ended 98–87. A flat 1-unit wager on the flagged side returned +1.00 units.

The metric that matters in backtesting: closing-line value. Between detection and tipoff, the market repriced +4.6% in the direction we'd flagged. CLV is what professionals measure because it accumulates across bets; individual outcomes bounce around noise.

Across 47 settled detections in this category—WNBA Asian handicap at mid-range odds—the board has logged +12.2% ROI.

This analysis was generated at detection by the algorithm that runs before each game, not after. The live board displays edges while they are actionable.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Indiana Fever vs Dallas Wings is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 15, 2026 10:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).