Sparks–Dream totals: isn overpricing one side by 8.3% versus sharp consensus, 17 hours before tip
What happened: Final score: 88–124. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-7.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 0 minutes after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 16.9 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—17 hours before Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream tips off (WNBA)—isn has priced one side of the totals market at decimal odds of 2.20, a figure sitting 8.3% above where independent sharp operators have converged. The mispricing is measurable and current; the pricing window remains active at this hour.
When bookmaker quotes splinter across a wide range, one side is pricing incorrectly. Sharp consensus reveals which.
55 independent sharp sources underpin the consensus cluster, so the fair value is distributed professional judgment, not any single operator's view.
Two historically profitable patterns from our database align with this signal. The strongest has returned +17.1% ROI on fully settled bets.
The track record in this segment runs long. Basketball totals at mid-range odds have accumulated +1.0% ROI across 84 settled bets when comparable signals have fired.
Mispricings of this size do not linger through the opening tip. Comparable edges in this market have historically compressed back toward consensus within roughly 18 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 21, 2026 04:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).