Chicago SkyvsGolden State Valkyries
Coolbet is paying 5.2% over the sharp consensus in the Asian handicap market, 10 hours before tip-off
What happened: Final score: 73–70. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.00 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-7.9% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 15 hours after detection before the edge closed.
10 hours before Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries (WNBA), bookmakers disagree about the Asian handicap market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 5.2% above the sharp consensus at Coolbet, at decimal odds of 1.94. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 3.2 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92
Omen Score
Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| BC.Game | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| betplay | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| rivalry | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| betwhale | 2.08 | +3.5% |
| Heritage Sports | 2.04 | +1.6% |
| Betway | 2.00 | -0.4% |
| FanDuel | 2.00 | -0.4% |
| Bet99 | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| espn-bet | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| theScore | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| DraftKings | 1.95 | -2.8% |
| BetRight | 1.94 | -3.3% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries
is on the member board now ·
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