WNBA · Basketball · Aug 21, 2026 19:30 EDT · avg book margin 5.4%
Chicago SkyvsGolden State Valkyries
1xBet moneyline sits 4.7% soft to sharp consensus 27 hours before tip-off
What happened: Final score: 73–70. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +2.40 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-1.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 27 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 10 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 27.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection — 27 hours before Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries (WNBA) — the moneyline market fractures across sportsbooks. 1xBet is quoting decimal odds of 3.40 on one side, a level 4.7% below the fair value that independent sharp operators have anchored. When books diverge on the same contract, one side trades at a disadvantage, and the consensus reveals which.
That pricing gap registers 3.6 standard deviations from where the wider market has clustered — a statistical distance that rules out everyday noise and signals genuine disagreement about the underlying proposition.
The fair-value benchmark rests on input from 4 independent sharp sources, so the edge reflects distributed professional judgment rather than one operator's private model.
The signal aligns with 1 historically profitable pattern from the Playbook; that pattern's strongest instance has returned +17.1% ROI on closed bets.
Basketball moneylines at mid-range odds carry a track record: across 1447 settled bets in this exact segment, comparable signals have produced +7.0% cumulative ROI.
Mispricings at this scale do not linger through tip-off. Historical patterns suggest comparable edges in this market compress toward consensus within roughly 23 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chicago Sky vs Golden State Valkyries
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 22, 2026 01:53 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).