Bettors who saw the draw-no-bet market move 5 points had a ~6% edge at theScore while it lagged 75 minutes behind
At 03:30 UTC, roughly 15 hours before kickoff, the draw-no-bet market for Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais (French Ligue 1) moved: across 88+ bookmakers, the average implied chance of Toulouse FC went from 53% to 58% within an hour. Moves this fast are almost never noise — they are money with an opinion.
The repricing was a race. The first movers — Desert Diamond, Four Winds among them — adjusted within about 34 minutes. The median bookmaker took 55 minutes to follow, and the slowest of the 77 that moved — theScore — needed 75 minutes.
The slowest to follow: theScore (75 min), surgebet (75 min), Superbet (75 min). That window has closed, so the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 75 minutes to take Toulouse FC at theScore's pre-move price — roughly 6% better than the post-move consensus, while a 4-point gap sat on the board.
11 bookmakers were STILL quoting pre-move prices hours later. That lag is the whole game: when the market's fast money has spoken and a book hasn't listened yet, its stale price is exactly the kind of edge our board flags in real time.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).