WNBA · Basketball · Aug 23, 2026 19:00 EDT · avg book margin 4.5%
Chicago SkyvsIndiana Fever
BetOnline is paying 5.8% over the sharp consensus in the moneyline market, 5 hours before tip-off
What happened: Final score: 90–113. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +12.3% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 5 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 4.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
5 hours before Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever (WNBA), bookmakers disagree about the moneyline market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 5.8% above the sharp consensus at BetOnline, at decimal odds of 2.45. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 2.6 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
5 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
This signal fits 3 historically profitable patterns from our Playbook — the strongest has realized +12.1% on settled bets.
Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — basketball moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +7.0% ROI across 1455 settled bets tracked on our board.
Edges like this don't wait for tip-off: in this market, they have typically held for about 23 hours before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks
· WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky
@ 2.08
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
BC.Game
2.08
+3.5%
betplay
2.08
+3.5%
rivalry
2.08
+3.5%
betwhale
2.08
+3.5%
Heritage Sports
2.04
+1.6%
Betway
2.00
-0.4%
FanDuel
2.00
-0.4%
Bet99
1.95
-2.8%
espn-bet
1.95
-2.8%
theScore
1.95
-2.8%
DraftKings
1.95
-2.8%
BetRight
1.94
-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 24, 2026 02:12 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).