WNBA · Basketball · Aug 23, 2026 19:00 EDT · avg book margin 4.7%

Chicago SkyvsIndiana Fever

The 5.8% pre-match edge lost the coin flip — but the market moved toward it before kickoff, which is the part that repeats

How it ended, price by price: Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at SportsBetting.ag2.45Fair price2.32+5.8% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 677 live signals across 283 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

Before Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever (WNBA) kicked off, our board flagged the moneyline market: one price sat 5.8% above the sharp consensus at SportsBetting.ag, at decimal odds of 2.45. Bettors following the signal took that price while it lasted.

Final score: 90–113. The bet lost — single results are coin flips around the edge, and we publish them either way.

The part that matters long-run: by kickoff the market had moved toward the flagged side — the price closed +3.6% better than where we caught it (positive closing-line value). CLV is how professionals judge a bet, because results are noisy and closing prices are not.

Signals in this segment — basketball moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +6.9% ROI across 1459 settled bets on our board.

This page was written by the same engine that flags edges like this every day, before kickoff — not after. The live board shows them while the window is still open.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 25, 2026 11:21 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).