WNBA · Basketball · Aug 23, 2026 19:00 EDT

Toronto TempovsLas Vegas Aces

Bettors who saw the moneyline market move 6 points had a ~45% edge at William Hill while it lagged 50 minutes behind

+45% window, 50 min11%16%21% market median William Hill (slowest)

At 16:15 UTC, roughly 7 hours before tip-off, the moneyline market for Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) moved: across 109+ bookmakers, the average implied chance of Toronto Tempo went from 12% to 18% within an hour. Moves this fast are almost never noise — they are money with an opinion.

The repricing was a race. The first movers — 1xBet, 4cx among them — adjusted within about 50 minutes. The median bookmaker took 50 minutes to follow, and the slowest of the 90 that moved — williamhill — needed 50 minutes.

The slowest to follow: William Hill (50 min), Unibet (50 min), TonyBet (50 min). That window has closed, so the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 50 minutes to take Toronto Tempo at William Hill's pre-move price — roughly 45% better than the post-move consensus, while a 6-point gap sat on the board.

19 bookmakers were STILL quoting pre-move prices hours later. That lag is the whole game: when the market's fast money has spoken and a book hasn't listened yet, its stale price is exactly the kind of edge our board flags in real time.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).