French Ligue 1 · Soccer · Sep 04, 2026 19:00 CEST · avg book margin 6.0%
LyonvsAuxerre
Betfred is paying 20.1% over the sharp consensus in the Asian handicap market, 26 hours before kickoff
What happened: Final score: 3–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-15.4% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 26 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 510 live signals across 189 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 25.8 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
26 hours before Lyon vs Auxerre (French Ligue 1), bookmakers disagree about the Asian handicap market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 20.1% above the sharp consensus at Betfred, at decimal odds of 2.50. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 6.9 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
5 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
Edges like this don't wait for kickoff: in this market, they have typically held for about 3 hours before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Record settled · last updated Sep 04, 2026 19:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).