Coolbet quoting 1X2 at 2.25—5.7% above sharp consensus, 15 hours from start
What happened: Final score: 1–0. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.25 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +1.6% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 15 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 47 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 15.4 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—15 hours before Rennes vs Marseille in French Ligue 1—the 1X2 (match result) market splits across betting venues. Coolbet has one outcome priced at decimal 2.25, a level that sits 5.7% above the consensus fair value established by independent sharp sources. The gap is active pricing tension, not hindsight.
Coolbet's quote lands 2.7 standard deviations away from the consensus cluster—a statistical dislocation that exceeds normal market drift.
The consensus fair line draws from 4 independent sharp sources, so it reflects distributed professional calibration rather than any single book's model.
Bets of this type have a historical record: in the soccer 1X2 segment at mid-range odds, tracked positions have returned +4.2% ROI across 4052 resolved wagers.
Mispricings of this scale rarely extend to kickoff. In this market segment, historically comparable edges have compressed toward fair value within roughly 13 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Record settled · last updated Sep 12, 2026 02:32 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).