Danish Superliga · Soccer · Sep 13, 2026 16:00 CEST · avg book margin 6.7%

Randers FCvsOdense BK

Randers FC 1–2 Odense BK: 13.8% mispricing at favbet repriced before kickoff — closing-line value held

How it ended, price by price: Randers FC vs Odense BK — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at favbet2.42Fair price2.13+13.8% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 665 live signals across 331 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

Hours before Randers FC and Odense BK met in the Danish Superliga, the detection system surfaced an Asian handicap inefficiency: favbet was quoting decimal odds of 2.42, sitting 13.8% above the sharp consensus. That pricing gap opened a brief window for execution at that quote.

Odense won 1–2. A flat 1-unit stake at 2.42 returned +1.42 units.

The signal that matters is closing-line value. Between detection and kickoff, the market had moved +1.0% toward the flagged side—that systematic repricing is what professionals measure, because individual scorelines are variance and market movement is the pattern.

The detection algorithm runs before every kickoff, surfacing pricing gaps while execution windows remain open. This page was generated in advance of the match, not constructed after settlement. The live board displays flagged inefficiencies during that window.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Randers FC vs Odense BK is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Sep 14, 2026 13:13 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).