Mexican LNBP · Basketball · Sep 16, 2026 02:15 UTC · avg book margin 8.2%

Diablos Rojos del MéxicovsCorrecaminos UAT Victoria

12.8% overpriced moneyline closed with +9.6% CLV before tipoff

How it ended, price by price: Diablos Rojos del México vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at Coolbet2.66Fair price2.36+12.8% above fair

Omenizer detected 8 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection, Coolbet's decimal odds of 2.66 for Diablos Rojos del México (Mexican LNBP) sat 12.8% above the sharp consensus on the moneyline. Our board caught the mispricing hours before Correcaminos UAT Victoria arrived for tipoff, flagging the inflated price while it was still tradeable.

The game ended 107–79. That signal lost. Single outcomes carry no predictive weight—we report them unfiltered, win or lose.

What validates the flag is closing-line value: the repricing between detection and kickoff. By tipoff, the market had shifted +9.6% toward the flagged side—systematic drift in your favor is the metric professionals use to judge bet quality, because scorelines are random and quoted prices are not.

Across 1481 settled signals in this segment—basketball moneylines, mid-range odds—the aggregate return stands at +7.4% ROI.

The detection engine runs before tipoff, surfacing mispricings as they emerge in real time. This page was built at detection, not backward from the final score. The live board exposes these gaps while execution remains possible.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks · WNBA · Basketball — flagged side Chicago Sky @ 2.08
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.9%
Entry edge
+3.5%
Edge near close
+1.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.01
Fair price (no-vig)
2.12
Entry odds
Quality
85/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
2.6%
Recommended stake
3.3%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
BC.Game2.08+3.5%
betplay2.08+3.5%
rivalry2.08+3.5%
betwhale2.08+3.5%
Heritage Sports2.04+1.6%
Betway2.00-0.4%
FanDuel2.00-0.4%
Bet991.95-2.8%
espn-bet1.95-2.8%
theScore1.95-2.8%
DraftKings1.95-2.8%
BetRight1.94-3.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.08 odds → 48% implied win probability
50%
Fair win probability
+7.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 05, 03:20 UTC at 2.12 (+2.9% edge) → fair price at close 2.02 → closing-line value +1.8%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.12 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Diablos Rojos del México vs Correcaminos UAT Victoria is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Sep 16, 2026 18:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).