1X2: PointsBet AU pricing one outcome 11.1% softer than sharp consensus, 11 hours before kickoff
Omenizer detected 26 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
60
Omen Score
+12.6%
Edge vs sharp consensus
80
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Espanyol
@ 2.15 — best price at PointsBet AU
As of 11 hours before Espanyol and Elche contest a Spanish La Liga match, the 1X2 (match result) market has fractured across sportsbooks. PointsBet AU is quoting decimal 2.15 on one side—a price sitting 11.1% below the fair value that independent sharp operators have converged upon. The mispricing is detectable at this writing, ahead of the opening whistle.
The PointsBet AU quote lands 2.1 standard deviations from the professional consensus cluster, a distance marking structural mispricing rather than routine market variance.
This consensus fair line draws from 3 independent sharp sources, anchoring the edge across multiple professional operators rather than isolating it to a single book's model.
This signal class—soccer 1X2 (match result) at mid-range odds—has shown historical strength in our tracking database. Across 4309 settled bets in this segment, the aggregate return has measured +3.0% ROI.
Mispricings of this magnitude do not typically persist to kickoff. Historical data on comparable 1X2 edges suggests the price gap usually converges toward fair value within roughly 10 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).