Nikita MashtakovvsSebastian Sec
Every tracked price on Nikita Mashtakov vs Sebastian Sec, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportzino | Sebastian Sec | 3.33 | +6.3% |
| DraftKings | Sebastian Sec | 3.20 | +2.1% |
| 1XBet | Sebastian Sec | 3.15 | +0.5% |
| Tailgate Exchange | Sebastian Sec | 3.08 | -1.7% |
| Kalshi | Sebastian Sec | 3.07 | -2.0% |
| Betplay | Sebastian Sec | 3.05 | -2.7% |
| BC.GAME | Sebastian Sec | 3.05 | -2.7% |
| betwhale | Sebastian Sec | 3.05 | -2.7% |
+19.5%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +19.5% across 916 settled signals last 30 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rivalry | Sebastian Sec | 3.05 | -2.7% |
| Coolbet | Sebastian Sec | 3.05 | -2.7% |
| Tailgate Exchange | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.48 | -3.2% |
| Betano | Sebastian Sec | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Superbet | Sebastian Sec | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Fanatics | Sebastian Sec | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Polymarket (USA) | Sebastian Sec | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Betano (Greece) | Sebastian Sec | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Polymarket (USA) | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.42 | -7.0% |
| Neds | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.42 | -7.2% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.42 | -7.2% |
| Hard Rock (Florida) | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| TwinSpires | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| SugarHouse | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| BetRivers | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Four Winds | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Desert Diamond | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| RushBet | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Hard Rock (Illinois) | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Unibet | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Hard Rock | Sebastian Sec | 2.90 | -7.4% |
| Coral | Sebastian Sec | 2.88 | -8.1% |
| Ladbrokes | Sebastian Sec | 2.88 | -8.1% |
| Bodog | Sebastian Sec | 2.85 | -9.0% |
| Bovada | Sebastian Sec | 2.85 | -9.0% |
| Kalshi | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.38 | -9.8% |
| Bodog | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.37 | -10.4% |
| Bovada | Nikita Mashtakov | 1.37 | -10.4% |
| Neds | Sebastian Sec | 2.80 | -10.6% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Sebastian Sec | 2.80 | -10.6% |
| bwin | Sebastian Sec | 2.80 | -10.6% |
| Sportingbet | Sebastian Sec | 2.80 | -10.6% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Nikita Mashtakov 1.53 · Sebastian Sec 3.13. How fair prices are made.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
84
Omen Score
+6.3%
Edge vs sharp consensus
60
Confidence
1
Sharp sources
Pick: Sebastian Sec
@ 3.33 — best price at sportzino
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now ·
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AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — pick Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime pick
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| Sx.Bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Betjack | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Nikita Mashtakov vs Sebastian Sec
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