Matilde MarianivsAran Teixido Garcia
Every tracked price on Matilde Mariani vs Aran Teixido Garcia, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| theScore | Matilde Mariani | 3.50 | +5.5% |
| espn-bet | Matilde Mariani | 3.50 | +5.5% |
| coolbet | Matilde Mariani | 3.35 | +1.0% |
| draftkings | Matilde Mariani | 3.20 | -3.5% |
| 1xbet | Matilde Mariani | 3.17 | -4.4% |
| betano | Matilde Mariani | 3.10 | -6.5% |
| sportzino | Matilde Mariani | 3.10 | -6.5% |
| superbet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.35 | -9.7% |
| 888sport | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.33 | -10.8% |
| betano | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.31 | -12.4% |
| 888sport | Matilde Mariani | 2.90 | -12.6% |
| draftkings | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.30 | -12.9% |
| superbet | Matilde Mariani | 2.87 | -13.5% |
| 1xbet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.29 | -13.7% |
| sportzino | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.29 | -14.0% |
| coolbet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.28 | -14.4% |
| theScore | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.27 | -15.3% |
| espn-bet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.27 | -15.3% |
| Hard Rock | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.0% |
| betrivers | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| sugarhouse | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| Rushbet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| TwinSpires | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| Four Winds | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| Desert Diamond | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
| unibet | Aran Teixido Garcia | 1.18 | -21.2% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Matilde Mariani 3.32 · Aran Teixido Garcia 1.50. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
17
Omen Score
+28.1%
Edge vs sharp consensus
30
Confidence
1
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Matilde Mariani
@ 4.25 — best price at BetRivers
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now ·
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AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Matilde Mariani vs Aran Teixido Garcia
is on the member board now ·
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Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).